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A grey residential air-conditioning condenser unit mounted on a concrete pad beside a house, photographed at sunset.

Heat pump vs Furnace in Maricopa County, Arizona

When a heat pump makes sense

Winter nights here only average 41°F, so a heat pump has an easy job most of the season, and it costs about 20% less to run than a gas furnace at Arizona prices. It also cools your home in summer, so you get both from one system. If you want a heat pump but you are somewhere the temperature drops hard on the coldest nights, ask about a cold-climate model, since standard ones lose heating power in the cold.

When a furnace makes sense

If your home already has gas line in and a furnace is what is there now, keeping it is the simpler path. A furnace only heats, so you would still need separate cooling for the summer. With winters this mild and heat pumps running cheaper here, a furnace makes the most sense when gas is already in place rather than something to add new.

When a heat pump makes sense

Winter nights here only average 41°F, so a heat pump has an easy job most of the season, and it costs about 20% less to run than a gas furnace at Arizona prices. It also cools your home in summer, so you get both from one system. If you want a heat pump but you are somewhere the temperature drops hard on the coldest nights, ask about a cold-climate model, since standard ones lose heating power in the cold.

When a furnace makes sense

If your home already has gas line in and a furnace is what is there now, keeping it is the simpler path. A furnace only heats, so you would still need separate cooling for the summer. With winters this mild and heat pumps running cheaper here, a furnace makes the most sense when gas is already in place rather than something to add new.

An outdoor HVAC condenser unit on a concrete pad in front of a two-story suburban house.

Heat pump

Runs on
Electricity
What it does
Heats and cools
Tax credit
No federal tax credit since the end of 2025

Sources: U.S. Department of Energy · Internal Revenue Code

A gray forced-air furnace with metal ductwork stands in an unfinished basement with exposed wooden joists, concrete walls, and a single hanging light bulb.

Furnace

Runs on
Natural gas
What it does
Heats only
Tax credit
No federal tax credit since the end of 2025

Sources: U.S. Department of Energy · Internal Revenue Code

Heat pump wins in Maricopa County.

Your winters barely dip below 41°F, so a heat pump keeps up fine and costs about 20% less to run than gas here.

About 20% lessto heat with a heat pump than with natural gas, at Arizona prices
41°Faverage winter low
28%of homes here heat with gas

If your home already has a gas line and you would rather not add electric heating to the mix, a furnace still gets the job done.

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Compared onHeat pumpFurnace
Cost to run hereAbout 20% less to runCosts more to run
What it doesHeats and coolsHeats only
Homes in the Mountain West that heat with one9.1%69.6%
Handles a 41°F nightStandard models lose heating power in the cold; cold-climate models are built for itYes

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, NOAA

When a heat pump makes sense

Winter nights here only average 41°F, so a heat pump has an easy job most of the season, and it costs about 20% less to run than a gas furnace at Arizona prices. It also cools your home in summer, so you get both from one system. If you want a heat pump but you are somewhere the temperature drops hard on the coldest nights, ask about a cold-climate model, since standard ones lose heating power in the cold.

When a furnace makes sense

If your home already has gas line in and a furnace is what is there now, keeping it is the simpler path. A furnace only heats, so you would still need separate cooling for the summer. With winters this mild and heat pumps running cheaper here, a furnace makes the most sense when gas is already in place rather than something to add new.

A Maricopa County contractor will price both against your own house, your ductwork and your panel.

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